Folio II · The Data
12 valid pairs · 12 rows

What's your UES™?

Twelve months of budget vs. actual. Paste from a spreadsheet, edit the cells inline, or work the Novatech sample to see the math first.

#PeriodBudgetActualStatus
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What we measure
Accuracy
How wrong forecasts are on average.
Mean absolute percent error.
Bias
Whether forecasts systematically over- or under-shoot.
Mean signed error.
Volatility
How much errors vary from one period to the next.
Standard deviation of percent error.
Persistence
Whether errors cluster — a miss this month predicting a miss next.
Lag-1 autocorrelation.
Folio III · The Check
One click between you and your score.

12 valid pairs. Ready.

Each pair is one period of budget vs. actual. We need at least 6 valid pairs to compute a score that means anything — fewer than that and the volatility and persistence components don't have the degrees of freedom to be honest.

Issues
No issues. All rows accepted.